2015年经济学人 意大利的劳动市场 变奏进行中

（单词翻译）

Italy's labour market

Marching to a different tune¹

A bold move to free up employment

WHILE many people's eyes were on Greece, another southern European country was taking a very different approach to easing its economic plight². On February 20th Italy's left-right coalition³ headed by Matteo Renzi approved two decrees enacting⁴ the core of an employment reform that parliament had broadly endorsed⁵ last year.

The measures aim to close a yawning gap between Italy's labour-market “outsiders”, who are mostly younger workers on short-term contracts with scant⁶ entitlement to welfare benefits, and the protected “insiders”, typically older workers, who enjoy both job security and the certainty of an adequate pension.

The reform sweeps away a skein of temporary contracts, replacing them with one that affords new employees progressively greater safeguards until, after three years, they become entitled to a permanent job. On the other hand, the reform ends the right to reinstatement of workers judged to have been unfairly fired. (That entitlement will now be reserved mainly for victims of discrimination.) Compensation will be given instead.

That nullifies a clause inItaly's 1970 Workers' Charter that the left holds sacred. Mr Renzi's determination to meddle⁷ with it has poisoned relations between the prime minister and a big minority within his centre-left Democratic party. But his reform also creates a new benefit for the involuntarily unemployed⁸: a monthly payment of up to 1,300 that can last for two years, but which starts to taper⁹ after four months. At the end of two years, a jobless worker becomes entitled to lesser¹⁰ benefits.

The reform has limitations. It does not affect public-sector workers, who are almost impossible to get rid of. It only applies to new hirings (though, since so many ofItaly's workers are now on short-term contracts, its effects will soon be felt). The unions hate it, but employers, who will get generous incentives¹¹ to use the new contract, welcomed it. Mr Renzi said it meant that “rights enter the vocabulary of a generation that hitherto has been excluded.” It will help create jobs and prosperity, added his finance minister, Pier¹² Carlo Padoan.

Both are sorely needed.Italy's unemployment rate is 12.9%, but among those aged¹³ between 15 and 29 it is 42%. The economy remains¹⁴ obstinately¹⁵ static, though most forecasters predict growth of around 0.6% this year. The hope is that the reform will raise productivity, cut unemployment and encourage investment, particularly from abroad.

But there are also some doubts. One is whether bosses will in fact start to hire more freely. And since those already in permanent work will be put on the new (and, for them, less advantageous) contract if they change jobs, there is a chance the reform could discourage labour mobility¹⁶.

The bigger question is what comes next. Labour-market measures were rushed onto the government's agenda last autumn only when it became clear the economy was not recovering. Mr Renzi's priority remains political and constitutional reform, which he views as essential for decisive government, and for enabling further economic measures that Italy needs. Privatisations and some limited liberalisation are planned. But if the economy does revive, such reforms might once again go on the back burner.