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Assad Family Grip on Syria Hampers1 Reform
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad's crackdown on anti-government protesters has been leavened2 with at least verbal concessions3 to reform. But given the history of the country, the government and his family, some political analysts5 believe those promises will never be fulfilled.
There was a telling moment a few weeks back, as the Syrian president appeared before parliament. His army was using tanks and guns against his citizens, but inside the legislature, lawmakers heaped praise upon the president, some appearing overcome with emotion. Assad stood smiling broadly, basking6 in their accolades7. The disconnect between government and the Syrian people is not what everyone hoped for when the Western-educated eye-doctor took power in 2000.
But Hilal Khasan, political science professor at the American University in Beirut, says the president is steeped in his family's political tradition.
"You cannot undo8 the work of the formative years," said Khasan. "Bashar was socialized by his father, and Bashar grew up in a household that considered Hafez al-Assad, the father, the owner of Syria."
For three decades, Hafez al-Assad ran Syria with an iron fist. He consolidated9 power in his fractured country by manning key government positions with members his family and others of his minority Alawite sect10, a Shi'ite group in the majority Sunni country. He crushed his opponents, most notably11 an uprising in Hama in 1982, at the cost of thousands, perhaps tens of thousands of lives.
In what is referred to informally as a hereditary12 republic, Bashar al-Assad has continued the tradition, with his brother and brother-in-law among those holding top positions in the army and intelligence.
"It is impossible to separate between the Assad regime and the security forces," added Khasan. "Actually, without the security forces, this regime would not be able to stay in power for a single day."
The Assads' ideology13 is secular14, but the alliances have been with fellow Shi'ites, most notably Iran and the militant15 Lebanon-based Hezbollah. The backdrop they present is that the country is segmented, and faces threats from Islamists like the Muslim Brotherhood16, as well as its enemy Israel.
"People believed the stories that give the Assad regime legitimacy17," said Nadhim Shehadeh, a Middle East and North Africa analyst4 at Chatham House. "And basically a dictatorship needs to prove that it is indispensable, that it is irreplaceable and that beyond it there is chaos18 that is very unimaginable, so that people could cling to it for all these reasons.? And also, the creation of an atmosphere of fear also helps because it bonds all of these elements together."
The Israel narrative19 has been largely dormant20 since Syria lost the Golan Heights to its neighbor in 1967. But in recent days, it proved handy again, with the government allowing Palestinian refugees to cross through to the Golan boundary.
The U.S. called it a cynical21 move to distract attention from domestic unrest. Others argued it was also a reminder22 to Israel and its backers that the Assads, both father and son, left the Golan alone.
But how long can this system - forged in another era, when information was tightly controlled and the current uprisings sweeping23 the region seemed unimaginable - stay viable24?? London-based analyst Shehadeh believes there is a limit.
"It is impossible to reconcile such a system with the reforms that are necessary," noted25 Shehadeh. "And that's why such a regime can survive for a very long time as people buy the idea of the regime. But once this is exposed, or once the credibility or legitimacy is gone, it's very difficult to maintain such a facade26."
American University in Beirut's Khashan argues that there is no question that the idea of legitimacy is shaken in Syria. He asks, how else could anyone explain the continued uprising against Assad, despite the heavy toll27 in human life.
1 hampers | |
妨碍,束缚,限制( hamper的第三人称单数 ) | |
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2 leavened | |
adj.加酵母的v.使(面团)发酵( leaven的过去式和过去分词 );在…中掺入改变的因素 | |
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3 concessions | |
n.(尤指由政府或雇主给予的)特许权( concession的名词复数 );承认;减价;(在某地的)特许经营权 | |
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4 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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5 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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6 basking | |
v.晒太阳,取暖( bask的现在分词 );对…感到乐趣;因他人的功绩而出名;仰仗…的余泽 | |
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7 accolades | |
n.(连结几行谱表的)连谱号( accolade的名词复数 );嘉奖;(窗、门上方的)桃尖拱形线脚;册封爵士的仪式(用剑面在肩上轻拍一下) | |
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8 undo | |
vt.解开,松开;取消,撤销 | |
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9 consolidated | |
a.联合的 | |
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10 sect | |
n.派别,宗教,学派,派系 | |
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11 notably | |
adv.值得注意地,显著地,尤其地,特别地 | |
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12 hereditary | |
adj.遗传的,遗传性的,可继承的,世袭的 | |
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13 ideology | |
n.意识形态,(政治或社会的)思想意识 | |
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14 secular | |
n.牧师,凡人;adj.世俗的,现世的,不朽的 | |
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15 militant | |
adj.激进的,好斗的;n.激进分子,斗士 | |
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16 brotherhood | |
n.兄弟般的关系,手中情谊 | |
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17 legitimacy | |
n.合法,正当 | |
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18 chaos | |
n.混乱,无秩序 | |
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19 narrative | |
n.叙述,故事;adj.叙事的,故事体的 | |
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20 dormant | |
adj.暂停活动的;休眠的;潜伏的 | |
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21 cynical | |
adj.(对人性或动机)怀疑的,不信世道向善的 | |
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22 reminder | |
n.提醒物,纪念品;暗示,提示 | |
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23 sweeping | |
adj.范围广大的,一扫无遗的 | |
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24 viable | |
adj.可行的,切实可行的,能活下去的 | |
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25 noted | |
adj.著名的,知名的 | |
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26 facade | |
n.(建筑物的)正面,临街正面;外表 | |
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27 toll | |
n.过路(桥)费;损失,伤亡人数;v.敲(钟) | |
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