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[00:00.00]All aboard for Allfinanz
[00:02.72]The Germans coined the term Allfinanz,the marriage of banking1 with insurance and other services for retail2 customers,
[00:10.71]yet their banks and insurers have lagged behind European rivals in putting it into effect.
[00:17.66]French banks,for instance,sell 35% of France's life insurance;German banks a puny3 5%.
[00:26.25]But thanks to the EC'single market,Germany's insurance market will be deregulated in 1994.
[00:33.96]Foreign competition could then threaten the domestic cartels that dominate German insurance.
[00:40.72]That should force German banks to catch up.
[00:43.86]Habit,law and the balance of power among financial institutions explain Germany's backwardness.
[00:51.83]Bankers and insurance agents are not used to selling each other's products.
[00:56.89]Savers usually buy insurance from agents tied to a single insurer,rather than from banks.
[01:04.00]The tax authorities encourage segregation4 by refusing to give tax breaks to types of insurance that mimic5 banking products.
[01:14.00]And some banks have been loth to start their own insurance operations lest they offend insurers,
[01:20.93]which are among their best customers.
[01:23.46]So most banks have sought to deliver Allfinanz through alliances,a strategy that entails6 modest costs but also produces modest returns.
[01:35.66]Allianz,Germany's biggest insurer,co-operates in some areas with Dresdner Bank;
[01:42.32]in others with Bayerische Hypothekenbank or co-operative banks.
[01:47.26]Its alliances with Dresdner and Hypobank are cemented by shareholdings;its banking partners sell 17% of its life-insurance policies.
[01:58.88]Commerzbank owns 48% of its insurance policies.DBV and sells DM1 billion($600m) of DBV's life insurance.
[02:11.84]Bolder approaches have not been particularly successful.
[02:15.71]AMB,Germany's second-biggest insurer,plunged into Allfinanz by buying BFG,a former trade-union bank.
[02:25.63]It lost more than DM750m on BFG's bad loans,and the bank sold less insurance than AMB hoped.
[02:35.45]AMB has since sold BFG to a French bank(it is itself partyly-owned by a French insurer),though it continues to market insurance through BFG branches.
[02:47.73]The deregulation of Germany's insurance market in mid-1994 will free prices and allow insurers to experiment with new products.
[02:57.45]That will drive banks and insurers closer together and may promote mergers7 and takovers among companies that now co-operate.
[03:06.83]One reason is that banks can sell standard life insurance more cheaply than insurers' tied agents.
[03:14.43]As competition heats up,that price advantage will tell.
[03:19.29]A second reason,says Sven-Michael Slottko,a former head of Deutsche Bank's life insurance operation,
[03:26.68]is that mere8 allies cannot invent true banking-insurance hybrids9 without squabbling over how to split the profits.
[03:35.41]Insurers require high commissions;banks live off spreads.
[03:41.36]Only a combined Allfinanz group,says Mr Slottko,can sell an insurance policy that sacrifices commission for a high spread.
[03:50.84]Deutsche Bank's insurance venture may be a sign of things to come.
[03:55.65]Alone among big banks,Deutsche started its own company,DB Leben,in 1989.
[04:03.20]In 1992 DB Leben sold DM7.2billion worth of life insurance through Deutsche's branches,putting it among Germany's top 15 life insurers.
[04:16.08]Despite this apparent success,Deutsche suddenly abandoned its go-it-alone strategy last year by buying 65% of Deutscher Herold,a medium-sized insurer.
[04:29.58]Deutsche has since transferred its insurance business to Herold and the insurance men who run it.
[04:35.72]Hilmar Kopper,Deutsche's chairman,calls the purchase of Herold "the most significant move we have made for years."
[04:44.03]Leaking at the seams
[04:46.54]HAUNTED by catastrophes10 past,Lloyd's of London faces a bleak11 future.
[04:52.26]Some wonder whether,in any recognisable form,by 2000 it will even be there.
[04:58.74]This matters to more than just those smooth scions12 of the British upper class who work in this singular insurance market,
[05:06.47]or to those who pledge their wealth,as "names",to back the market's underwriting syndicates.
[05:13.03]Though this collective of co-operatives pulls in only as much premium13 income as some of Britain's big insurance companies,
[05:20.52]Lloyd's is synonymous with British insurance.
[05:23.94]An enfeebled Lloyd's would harm the City of London's international standing14.
[05:28.62]It was this thought that held the British government back from putting Lloyd's firmly under its thumb during the fraud-ridden years of the late 1970s and early 1980s.
[05:39.30]The market has since done much to polish up its self-regulation,though it is still far from squeaky-clean.
[05:46.75]Today,however,the biggest problem that faces David Coleridge,who took over this month as chairman of Lloyd's,is not one of scandal,but of profits.
[05:56.96]In the next couple of years these will prove uniformly bad,underscoring the steady loss of competitiveness from which Lloyd's has suffered recently.
[06:06.00]The market's share of world premium income was 2.2% in 1983,but is only half that today.
[06:14.67]The latest published figures for Lloyd's show £575m($950) of pre-tax profit in 1987(Lloyd's syndicates close their accounts only after three years),
[06:28.36]down slightly on the record profits of 1986.That was before a blast of natural and man-made catastrophes in 1988-90 sent insurance claims pouring into Lloyd's:
[06:41.42]the fire on the Piper Alpha oil platform,the spillage from the Exxon Valdez,the San Francisco earthquake,Hurricane Hugo and a spate15 of European gales16.
[06:52.55]Worse,these disasters coincided with falling premium rates in almost every one of the market's businesses.
[06:59.34]Today Chatset,an independent consultancy,reckons Lloyd's will post a meagre profit for 1988 and a loss of more than £850m for 1989,the first loss since 1967.
[07:14.31]Many of the 26,500 names would therefore love to follow the 6,000 who have already shaken the dust of Lloyd's from their feet these past three years.
[07:24.55]Yet half the names could not leave even if they wanted to:
[07:28.24]they are locked into the 58, out of the total 401 Lloyd's syndicates ,that have been unable to close one or more of their past annual accounts,
[07:37.80]so unquantifiable are the liabilities stacking up against them.
[07:42.18]Many of the resultant 92 "open years" have to do with old American liabilities-for asbestos-related risks,
[07:50.75]for example,and pollution-whose scale was undreamt-of when the insurance(or,more usually,the reinsurance) policies were underwritten.
[07:59.79]The most notorious case concerns the 1,600 names on 31 Outhwaite syndicates.
[08:05.28]These face losses,mainly on asbestosis claims,of up to £1 billion;since Lloyd's names have unlimited17 liability,many will be bankrupted.
[08:16.95]A case that looks set to rival Outhwaite in notoriety concerns two Feltrim syndicates,
[08:22.20]where at least £200m of losses are emerging on"excess-of-loss"insurance in 1987-89.
[08:29.78]Nor do the market's commerical troubles end there.
[08:33.20]Other unsuspected"long-tail"claims are now hitting it,notably untold18 billions of coming dollars for professional negligence19.
[08:41.61]Most visible are the claims arising out of the gross mismanagement during the 1980s of America's saving-and-loan institutions.
[08:50.08]Open years are proving to be open wounds for Lloyd's.
1 banking | |
n.银行业,银行学,金融业 | |
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2 retail | |
v./n.零售;adv.以零售价格 | |
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3 puny | |
adj.微不足道的,弱小的 | |
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4 segregation | |
n.隔离,种族隔离 | |
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5 mimic | |
v.模仿,戏弄;n.模仿他人言行的人 | |
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6 entails | |
使…成为必要( entail的第三人称单数 ); 需要; 限定继承; 使必需 | |
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7 mergers | |
n.(两个公司的)合并( merger的名词复数 ) | |
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8 mere | |
adj.纯粹的;仅仅,只不过 | |
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9 hybrids | |
n.杂交生成的生物体( hybrid的名词复数 );杂交植物(或动物);杂种;(不同事物的)混合物 | |
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10 catastrophes | |
n.灾祸( catastrophe的名词复数 );灾难;不幸事件;困难 | |
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11 bleak | |
adj.(天气)阴冷的;凄凉的;暗淡的 | |
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12 scions | |
n.接穗,幼枝( scion的名词复数 );(尤指富家)子孙 | |
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13 premium | |
n.加付款;赠品;adj.高级的;售价高的 | |
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14 standing | |
n.持续,地位;adj.永久的,不动的,直立的,不流动的 | |
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15 spate | |
n.泛滥,洪水,突然的一阵 | |
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16 gales | |
龙猫 | |
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17 unlimited | |
adj.无限的,不受控制的,无条件的 | |
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18 untold | |
adj.数不清的,无数的 | |
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19 negligence | |
n.疏忽,玩忽,粗心大意 | |
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