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How is the 'Great Replacement1' theory tied to the Buffalo2 shooting suspect?
Included in a document published online outlining ideology4 behind Saturday's mass shooting at a Buffalo supermarket, is a conspiracy5 known as the "Great Replacement." What is replacement theory?
A MART?NEZ, HOST:
Investigators6 are looking at a screed7 that was posted online in relation to Saturday's mass shooting in a predominantly Black part of Buffalo, N.Y. The 180-page document cites a racist8 conspiracy theory known as the "Great Replacement." This idea has circulated for at least a decade among far-right extremists. Now it's become mainstream9 through cable news. Republican talking points are also tweaking the language a bit. Here to discuss is NPR's domestic extremism correspondent Odette Yousef.
Odette, can you explain what this is, "Great Replacement"?
ODETTE YOUSEF, BYLINE10: Yes. The "Great Replacement" conspiracy theory baselessly claims that a cabal11 of powerful elites12 are systematically13 replacing white people in America with people of color. And while the term, you know, "Great Replacement" was coined around 2012, as you mentioned, this has actually been a conspiracy theory within the organized white supremacist movement for many decades. You know, they've long claimed that the elites are bringing in immigrants and also promoting interracial marriage to dilute14 the white population. And you even still hear claims of white genocide within these circles.
MART?NEZ: Hasn't this always gone hand in hand with antisemitism?
YOUSEF: It has. The organized white supremacist movement at its core revolves15 around a conspiratorial16 belief that Jews control the media; they control Hollywood; they control the banking17 system and that they wield18 outsized influence in politics. It was clear that this conspiracy theory was bleeding out of the KKK and neo-Nazi circles in 2017, A, when you'll recall, we saw footage of mostly young white men in polo shirts and khakis marching on the University of Virginia campus in Charlottesville chanting, you will not replace us, or, the Jews will not replace us.
MART?NEZ: You know, we remember that. As we noted19 earlier, the replacement theory is more mainstream. Can you explain how that happened?
YOUSEF: It is. A recent poll has found that 1 in 3 American adults now believes in replacement theory. I spoke20 with Matthew Gertz about this. He's with Media Matters, and he's been following this conspiracy for years. He says initially21 it was only on fringe neo-Nazi websites.
MATTHEW GERTZ: And then they found their champion. It was Tucker Carlson who started talking about the same conspiracy theories night after night. Other hosts at Fox News started doing it, too, and then Republican politicians. And now here we are. It's a mainstream Republican talking point.
YOUSEF: Fox News declined to comment when I reached out to them about this, A. But it's worth noting that earlier in Carlson's time at Fox, the language was crafted more around political theory than race. He wasn't saying Jews were replacing white people. Instead, he was advancing a baseless theory of voter replacement, a conspiracy claiming that Democrats22 are replacing so-called native-born Americans with immigrant voters.
But Gertz says you don't have to look too closely to read between the lines here. Carlson focuses more on immigrants from Central America, for example, than those from Scandinavia. But he says that framing it as a political conspiracy has made it much more palatable23 to a wider audience that might turn away from it if the racial subtext were more explicit24.
MART?NEZ: But in this online document that may be linked to the gunman in Buffalo, was Tucker Carlson - or Fox News, even - cited anywhere as a source for these beliefs?
YOUSEF: They weren't. The author of that document claimed he was radicalized on the internet, primarily through the kind of fringe websites where the "Great Replacement" theory first found currency among the "alt-right." But what's disturbing is that the walls between the violent and racist worldviews you find in those spaces and other conspiracist worldviews that have become more popular recently - you know, those walls have become really fluid. And so normalizing conspiracies25 on cable news can get people onto a very dangerous path, A.
MART?NEZ: NPR's Odette Yousef, thank you very much.
YOUSEF: Thank you.
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