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The World Bank says China's economy will grow faster than expected this year, but cautions it is too soon to say a sustained recovery is imminent1.
The World Bank raised its estimate of China's gross domestic product growth this year to 7.2 percent, up from the 6.5 percent projected in March.
Jumpstart
A crane hoists2 construction material in front of a backdrop of high rising buildings, Wednesday in Shanghai, China, 17 Jun 2009
In its quarterly report released Thursday, the Washington-based lender credits China's $586 billion stimulus3 program with supporting growth by increasing investment in factories, real estate and public works.
Jing Ulrich, the managing director and chairman of China equities4 for the investment bank JP Morgan in Hong Kong, says the stimulus program helped jumpstart the world's third-largest economy.
"Now, going forward, the most important thing to watch out for is whether the Chinese domestic consumption can hold up in the face of declining exports," she said. "We think domestic consumption is going to recover incrementally5 in the next few quarters, mainly because confidence is recovering very strongly in the Chinese economy."
Strong growth
China's economy grew 6.1 percent in the first quarter from the same time last year. That is the strongest rate of any major country, but below the government's 2009 target of 8 percent and far from 2007's explosive 13 percent.
However, the World Bank cautions that more robust6 growth in China will have to wait until the global economy and demand for exports also rebound7. It says China's trade and private investment will remain weak and consumption will slow.
Ulrich says as the world economy recovers, China's exports also will recover.
"Clearly, that's the case. China is the second-largest exporter in the world and what happens in the regional economies, what's happening in the U.S. and Europe really matter a great deal to the Chinese economy," she added. "However, we also must keep in mind, the Chinese economy is fast. It's got 1.3 billion people. Domestic consumption and domestic fixed-asset investments are becoming much more important going forward."
The World Bank predicts China's growth in 2010 will rise to 7.7 percent.
1 imminent | |
adj.即将发生的,临近的,逼近的 | |
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2 hoists | |
把…吊起,升起( hoist的第三人称单数 ) | |
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3 stimulus | |
n.刺激,刺激物,促进因素,引起兴奋的事物 | |
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4 equities | |
普通股,股票 | |
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5 incrementally | |
adv.逐渐地 | |
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6 robust | |
adj.强壮的,强健的,粗野的,需要体力的,浓的 | |
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7 rebound | |
v.弹回;n.弹回,跳回 | |
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