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VOA标准英语2013--Bernanke Offers Mixed Economic Outlook For US

时间:2013-03-22 08:50:44

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Bernanke Offers Mixed Economic Outlook For US

Despite a strong pickup1 in manufacturing and a much-improved housing market, the outlook for the US economy remains2 mixed. The Federal Reserve said U.S. growth is unlikely to exceed 2.8 percent in 2013. 

On the other hand, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke expects U.S. unemployment will fall faster than expected - to as low as 7.3 percent by the end of this year.

"Private payrolls3 are growing more quickly, total hours have increased, the rate of filings and new claims for unemployment insurance has fallen, and the unemployment rate has continued to tick down," Bernanke said.

But persistent4 concerns about government spending cuts, tax hikes, and new signs of instability in Europe continue to weigh on the central bank. As a result, the Fed plans to keep its $85 billion a month bond buying program to keep long-term interest rates near zero. The low rates have contributed to an extended winning streak5 on Wall Street.

"The stock market right now is really addicted6 to this Fed stimulus7. I mean if the Fed had given any indication that they were thinking of scaling back the stimulus, the stock market would have sold off very sharply, but instead the market is up," said Greg McBride at Bankrate.com

McBride says that's because low interest rates encourage spending and investments in riskier8 assets. While low rates can help boost economic growth, they can also fuel inflation.

Barring a sharp increase in prices, the Fed expects to keep interest rates low until the jobless rate falls to 6.5 percent.

Most experts say that's not likely to happen until at least 2015. 


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