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(单词翻译)
By George Dwyer
Washington, DC
29 May 2006
watch Gold Prices report
Last week the price of gold on the New York Mercantile Exchange declined by 7 and a half percent, the most since 1990. By Wednesday of this week it was down again: 13 percent off from the 26-year high it reached on May 12th. On Thursday gold prices turned up again. VOA's George Dwyer reports on the recent volatility1 in the precious metals market.
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In good times and bad, wise investors2 buy precious metals as part of a diversified3 investment portfolio4, says gold market investment analyst5 George Milling-Stanley.
George Milling-Stanley
"What you really want are assets that move in different directions, so that you have some protection."
What investors need to protect themselves against is over-commitment to traditional investments - such as currency and shares of stock and bonds. When they perform similarly, as Mr. Milling Stanley says they have been doing in recent years, investors risk sharp losses should the market turn downward.
"So if the three traditional investment assets are starting to move in a correlated fashion, then an uncorrelated asset like gold becomes even more valuable."
The value of gold has increased 170 percent in the past five years - Milling-Stanley says its performance is related to four specific factors. First, the value of the US dollar has been declining. Second, inflation in US, while not great, has been steadily6 inching up. Third, the performance of US equities7 has been generally lackluster…
"And the fourth, non-gold market factor that effects the gold market is geopolitical tension. And I do not think anyone would argue with my contention8 that geopolitical tensions are worse now then they were five years ago."
Milling-Stanley points to one key geopolitical benchmark - January 2006, when Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced his nation had resumed nuclear research - raising the specter of conflict with the U.S. and other concerned nations.
"That is probably the one that has given us most of the oomph in the gold price in just the last few weeks."
As for the market's seesaw9 movements of recent weeks, he explains that recent drop-offs in gold's value should be seen as short-term market corrections - and that long-term prospects10 for gold still appear strong.
"There are good reasons why most analysts11 are expecting the gold price to pick up and continue to rise for another few years to come yet. So there is still a good deal of potential in it."
That's something many investors believe in.
1 volatility | |
n.挥发性,挥发度,轻快,(性格)反复无常 | |
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2 investors | |
n.投资者,出资者( investor的名词复数 ) | |
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3 diversified | |
adj.多样化的,多种经营的v.使多样化,多样化( diversify的过去式和过去分词 );进入新的商业领域 | |
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4 portfolio | |
n.公事包;文件夹;大臣及部长职位 | |
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5 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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6 steadily | |
adv.稳定地;不变地;持续地 | |
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7 equities | |
普通股,股票 | |
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8 contention | |
n.争论,争辩,论战;论点,主张 | |
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9 seesaw | |
n.跷跷板 | |
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10 prospects | |
n.希望,前途(恒为复数) | |
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11 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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