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By Meredith Buel
Washington
02 November 2006
The United States is urging the U.N. Security Council to impose sanctions on Iran immediately for its refusal to halt its uranium enrichment program. Some Middle East analysts2 say even with the threat of sanctions, Tehran is unlikely to suspend the program. Analysts argue, however, that diplomacy3 is a better approach to the situation than using military force.
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U.N. Security Council
Consultations4 are under way at the U.N. Security Council on a draft sanctions resolution proposed by Britain, France and Germany.
The United States and the European powers favor action to punish Tehran for failing to comply with the Council's demand to halt uranium enrichment.
U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is urging Council members to impose sanctions immediately.
Condoleezza Rice
"The United Nations Security Council is now working on an Iran sanctions resolution," she said. "For the international community to be credible5, it must pass a resolution now that holds Iran accountable for its defiance6."
Some Middle East analysts say Iran is not likely to halt its nuclear program, even if sanctions are imposed.
Kenneth Pollack, a specialist on Iran with the Washington-based Brookings Institution, spoke7 recently at an event sponsored by the Council on Foreign Relations.
"Even the word suspension is an anathema8 in Tehran and it does seem very unlikely that we are going to get an Iranian agreement to suspend," he said. "I think that is very unlikely at any point in the near future for the Iranians."
Ray Takeyh, a senior fellow for Middle Eastern studies at the Council on Foreign Relations, has just published a book called Hidden Iran: Paradox9 and Power in the Islamic Republic.
Takeyh says the Iranian government, which has signed the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT), is using a civilian10 construction program to develop nuclear weapons.
"I think there are certain determinations that have been made by the regime," he said. "Namely that the country will proceed with its nuclear program up to the uppermost limits of what the NPT can allow, which is essentially11 creating a very elaborate nuclear infrastructure12 that can give them a weapons capability13 when and if they should want to move to that capability."
Reports from Iran say the country has recently doubled its capacity to enrich uranium.
George W. Bush
That prompted President Bush to call for increased international pressure on Tehran.
"Whether they've doubled it or not, the idea of Iran having a nuclear weapon is unacceptable," he said. "It is unacceptable to the United States and it is unacceptable to the nations we are working with at the United Nations to send a common message."
Iran says its uranium enrichment is for peaceful purposes, to provide fuel for nuclear power. The United States alleges14 Iran is using the technology to create a weapons program.
Middle East analyst1 Kenneth Pollack says some officials within the Bush administration are pushing for the use of military force against Iran if it does not comply with U.N. demands to stop enriching uranium.
Pollack says, however, key U.S. leaders believe diplomacy is the best alternative.
"There certainly are people who are pushing for a more aggressive policy, for a policy of regime change, for a policy of military strikes," he said. "But they do not seem to be gaining a whole lot of traction15 because the principals do seem to understand that as difficult as the diplomatic track is to pull off, it actually is the least bad option."
Pollack says the diplomatic option offers some positives for the United States, even if it does not convince the Iranians to give up their nuclear program.
He says using diplomacy does preserve some American influence and enjoys the support of many U.S. allies.
It is not yet clear when or if the permanent members of the Security Council will agree on a resolution imposing16 sanctions on Iran, although U.S. diplomats17 have expressed optimism such a document will be approved.
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