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By Challiss McDonoughThe Lebanese parliament is scheduled to elect a president on Sunday, ending an extended period of political turmoil1 that erupted earlier this month into violent clashes between Lebanon's U.S.-backed government and the Hezbollah-led opposition2. A political settlement reached in Qatar earlier this week paved the way for the election, six months after the last president stepped down. But analysts3 warn that some difficult, unresolved issues could be tough challenges for Lebanon's new leader. VOA Correspondent Challiss McDonough has more from Beirut.
Beirut is a city transformed. The opposition's protest tents are gone, a year and a half after they went up outside the prime minister's office. The crowds are back in downtown restaurants and cafes. And the partisan4 banners and flags that have blanketed many parts of the city for the last several years have been largely replaced by the red-white-and-green Lebanese flag, and the white banner of the Lebanese army.
In a city where, not too long ago, the faces of factional leaders peered out from posters all over town, now the walls are plastered with the face of General Michel Suleiman, who is to be elected president on Sunday.
And even those pictures have changed. Posters of the general in his military uniform have been replaced by images of him in a civilian6 suit and tie.
Lebanon's last head of state, Emile Lahoud, stepped down in November when his term ended, but the election of army chief Suleiman has been delayed for months, while political factions7 wrangled8 over the shape of the next government. Earlier this month, fighting erupted between supporters of the government and opposition factions led by Hezbollah. The rivals finally reached a compromise on Wednesday, after days of talks in Qatar, agreeing to give the opposition enough Cabinet posts to veto any government decision.
But analysts warn that the compromise reached in Doha did not address the most difficult issues. They were left for later negotiations9 that could prove a serious challenge for the new unity10 government.
Mohamad Bazzi is the Edward R. Murrow press fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. "And in the end, the entire system works on consensus11, so General Suleiman would have to achieve consensus on all of the important questions, and that's the most difficult problem… there's no consensus around the thorny12 questions, like Hezbollah's weapons," he said.
Difficult questions that could threaten the fragile coalition13 include Lebanon's relationship with Syria and its cooperation with the U.N. tribunal investigating the 2005 killing14 of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri. Those are among the issues that led to the political standoff in the first place.
Earlier this month, the crisis erupted into the worst internal fighting that Lebanon has seen since its civil war - fighting that largely fell along sectarian lines. The new president will have to deal with the legacy15 of that violence as well as with the issues that led to it.
The group Human Rights Watch is urging the new government to investigate the killing of civilians16 during the clashes, as well as other human rights violations17 that took place.
Human Rights Watch researcher Nadim Houry says, if the victims do not feel the state can provide justice, it could lead to another round of violence. "Seventy-one people died, more than 200 were wounded, and yet no one has been held accountable. And if this future government, and if this future president want to succeed in building a state, the first building block has to be accountability, and the recognition that victims have to get their due," he said.
The first task facing the new president will be forming a government. Traditionally, there is considerable wrangling18 over which faction5 gets which Cabinet post. Insiders say the Doha agreement likely included a compromise over the so-called key ministries19, which include the justice, defense20 and interior portfolios21.
Suleiman became a consensus candidate for president precisely22 because he has good relations with both sides of Lebanon's political divide and successfully kept the army neutral throughout the crisis. As he moves into the Baabda presidential mansion23, his leadership skills are likely to be tested on a whole new level.
1 turmoil | |
n.骚乱,混乱,动乱 | |
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2 opposition | |
n.反对,敌对 | |
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3 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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4 partisan | |
adj.党派性的;游击队的;n.游击队员;党徒 | |
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5 faction | |
n.宗派,小集团;派别;派系斗争 | |
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6 civilian | |
adj.平民的,民用的,民众的 | |
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7 factions | |
组织中的小派别,派系( faction的名词复数 ) | |
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8 wrangled | |
v.争吵,争论,口角( wrangle的过去式和过去分词 ) | |
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9 negotiations | |
协商( negotiation的名词复数 ); 谈判; 完成(难事); 通过 | |
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10 unity | |
n.团结,联合,统一;和睦,协调 | |
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11 consensus | |
n.(意见等的)一致,一致同意,共识 | |
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12 thorny | |
adj.多刺的,棘手的 | |
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13 coalition | |
n.结合体,同盟,结合,联合 | |
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14 killing | |
n.巨额利润;突然赚大钱,发大财 | |
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15 legacy | |
n.遗产,遗赠;先人(或过去)留下的东西 | |
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16 civilians | |
平民,百姓( civilian的名词复数 ); 老百姓 | |
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17 violations | |
违反( violation的名词复数 ); 冒犯; 违反(行为、事例); 强奸 | |
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18 wrangling | |
v.争吵,争论,口角( wrangle的现在分词 ) | |
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19 ministries | |
(政府的)部( ministry的名词复数 ); 神职; 牧师职位; 神职任期 | |
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20 defense | |
n.防御,保卫;[pl.]防务工事;辩护,答辩 | |
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21 portfolios | |
n.投资组合( portfolio的名词复数 );(保险)业务量;(公司或机构提供的)系列产品;纸夹 | |
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22 precisely | |
adv.恰好,正好,精确地,细致地 | |
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23 mansion | |
n.大厦,大楼;宅第 | |
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