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After steadily1 cutting interest rates for much of the past year, the U.S. central bank has decided2 to keep them unchanged, while signaling concerns about inflation that could trigger interest rate hikes in the future. VOA's Michael Bowman reports from Washington, where Federal Reserve policy makers3 concluded a two-day meeting Wednesday.
United States Federal Reserve Building in Washington, DC (File)
The Federal Reserve typically raises interest rates during periods of brisk economic activity that tend to boost inflationary pressures, and usually cuts interest rates when the economy falters4 and inflationary risks are low.
But the U.S. economy remains5 weak and American consumer confidence continues to plunge6, while inflationary pressures, led by rising energy costs, have been growing.
Further interest rate cuts could heighten the risk of inflation, yet raising interest rates could send a weak economy into a full-blown recession.
If each option poses undesirable7 risks, perhaps the best course of action is to maintain the status quo. That appears to be the Fed's thinking, at least for now, as it chose to keep interest rates unchanged.
In a statement, the central bank said recent interest rate cuts should set the stage for a return to moderate economic growth, although it could not discount the possibility of a recession, saying that "downside risks" to growth remain. At the same time, the Fed said, in light of price increases for energy and other commodities, uncertainty8 about the inflation outlook remains high.
Given that uncertainty, many economists10 say the Federal Reserve will continue to face tough decisions in the months ahead.
"The Fed is facing probably one of the most difficult circumstances that is has faced in three decades," said Julia Coronado, a senior economist9 with the New York-based investment firm, Barclays Capital. "We are seeing some pretty pervasive11 inflationary pressures. They [Fed policy makers] learned in the '70s that you cannot successfully accommodate an energy price shock with lower [interest] rates. That, ultimately, it does fan the flames of inflation."
In the 1970s, the United States faced similar circumstances of slow growth amid rising prices - what economists refer to as "stagflation." The U.S. economy returned to robust12 growth with low inflation in the 1980s, but only after the Federal Reserve dramatically raised interest rates and America suffered a deep recession.
1 steadily | |
adv.稳定地;不变地;持续地 | |
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2 decided | |
adj.决定了的,坚决的;明显的,明确的 | |
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3 makers | |
n.制造者,制造商(maker的复数形式) | |
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4 falters | |
(嗓音)颤抖( falter的第三人称单数 ); 支吾其词; 蹒跚; 摇晃 | |
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5 remains | |
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹 | |
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6 plunge | |
v.跳入,(使)投入,(使)陷入;猛冲 | |
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7 undesirable | |
adj.不受欢迎的,不良的,不合意的,讨厌的;n.不受欢迎的人,不良分子 | |
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8 uncertainty | |
n.易变,靠不住,不确知,不确定的事物 | |
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9 economist | |
n.经济学家,经济专家,节俭的人 | |
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10 economists | |
n.经济学家,经济专家( economist的名词复数 ) | |
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11 pervasive | |
adj.普遍的;遍布的,(到处)弥漫的;渗透性的 | |
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12 robust | |
adj.强壮的,强健的,粗野的,需要体力的,浓的 | |
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