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Russian President Dmitri Medvedev has signed decrees granting formal recognition to the Georgian breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. But VOA Moscow correspondent Peter Fedynsky reports analysts2 say the move could promote separatism in Russia itself.
President Dmitri Medvedev records national address, 26 Aug 2008
President Medvedev announced Russian recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia in a five-minute nationally-televised address, in which he accused Georgia of an attempted blitzkrieg aimed at eliminating the people of the breakaway republics.
The Kremlin leader says he has signed decrees regarding the Russian Federation's recognition of South Ossetia and Abkhazia. He says Russia calls on other states to follow his country's example. Mr. Medvedev says the decision is not easy, but it offers the only possibility to save people's lives.
He says recognition is based on the desire of the Ossetian and Abkhaz peoples for independence, as well as United Nations Charter, a 1970 declaration on international law, and the Helsinki Agreement.
Independent Russian political analyst1 Alexander Konovalov told VOA the decision weakens the Helsinki Agreement, a document that has recognized the inviolability of Europe's post-War boundaries since it was signed in 1975. Konovalov says this will hurt Russia itself, because Moscow will no longer be able to oppose U.S. and Western recognition of Kosovo, a province that broke lose of Serbia, a Russian ally.
The analyst says even more importantly for Russia, recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia plants a time bomb in the Caucasus, because if Moscow acknowledges the right of Ossetians and Abkhaz to secede3 from Georgia, why can't the Ingush and Chechens leave Russia? He says he does not know how or when the time bomb will go off, but he is certain that it will.
Chechens fought two very bloody4 wars of independence with Russia in recent years, which ended only after one of the warring clans5 turned their guns against other Chechens to side with the Russians who put them in charge of the restive6 region. Chechens have been fighting Russian rule since the 19th century and the area is still considered a hot bed of independence.
The chairman of the European Integration7 Forum8 in Tbilisi, Soso Tsiskarishvili, told VOA that Mr. Medvedev's decision is likely to raise ethnic9 awareness10 and stoke separatism throughout Russia. He says Mr. Medvedev's decision to recognize Abkhazia and South Ossetia demonstrates that he is a short-sighted leader, who was selected, not elected, and cannot be trusted to honor Russia's solemn international commitments. Tsiskarishvili is also critical of Georgian leadership, saying it runs the risk of losing domestic political support.
Tsiskarishvili says he is not convinced there is sufficient confidence among the people of Georgia in the ability of current authorities to control the situation in the long run, or that they will be able to remain real players on Georgia's political scene.
Tsiskarishvili says that if any Georgian leader still harbors ideas of continued fighting over South Ossetia, it will mean the loss of virtually any possibility of maintaining the country's territorial11 integrity.
1 analyst | |
n.分析家,化验员;心理分析学家 | |
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2 analysts | |
分析家,化验员( analyst的名词复数 ) | |
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3 secede | |
v.退出,脱离 | |
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4 bloody | |
adj.非常的的;流血的;残忍的;adv.很;vt.血染 | |
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5 clans | |
宗族( clan的名词复数 ); 氏族; 庞大的家族; 宗派 | |
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6 restive | |
adj.不安宁的,不安静的 | |
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7 integration | |
n.一体化,联合,结合 | |
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8 forum | |
n.论坛,讨论会 | |
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9 ethnic | |
adj.人种的,种族的,异教徒的 | |
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10 awareness | |
n.意识,觉悟,懂事,明智 | |
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11 territorial | |
adj.领土的,领地的 | |
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