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科学美国人60秒 SSS 棒球大伽谈论棒球大数据

时间:2019-12-10 08:59:57

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This is Scientific American's 60-second Science, I'm Steve Mirsky.

"I think there will come a time when we will experiment with an automated1 strike zone."

Rob Manfred, the commissioner2 of Major League Baseball. Manfred spoke3 February 27th at the SportTechie State of the Industry conference at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn. As the name suggest, SportTechie deals with the intersection4 of sports and technology. Back to Manfred on the automated strike zone:

"The technology has gotten much, much better. We are much closer to being able to do that. But, you koow, the way I always answer this question, and it remains5 my answer, is whether you have the technology or not, I think this is one of those areas where you have to think about the management of the game on the field. The source of authority for umpires...or one of the sources for their authority is that call a ball or strike on every single play in a baseball game. And before you alter that fundamental dynamic you really have to think through what the consequences of that's going to be."

Manfred also addressed the question of whether baseball analytics have gone too far. I can't get enough baseball data, but I know some fans think that all the numbers, and the reliance on them for decision-making, are taking some of the fun out of the game. 

"I don't waste a lot of time on the question of whether there is a point where analytics goes too far. And the reason I don't is, it doesn't matter whether I think it's going too far or not, or even objectively whether it's gone too far. The fact of the matter is, that's how people are thinking about the game, ok? That's how they're analyzing6 the game, it's going to happen...you just can't tell people, I know you have available to you a way to determine with a lot of accuracy how good Rob Manfred is gonna be for the next five years before you sign him. But you know what? We don't really like that outcome, so we don't want you to think about it. I mean, that's not the real world."

The Major League Baseball season starts March 20th in Tokyo, where the Seattle Mariners7 will take on the Oakland A's.

For Scientific American — 60-Second Science. I'm Steve Mirsky.


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1 automated fybzf9     
a.自动化的
参考例句:
  • The entire manufacturing process has been automated. 整个生产过程已自动化。
  • Automated Highway System (AHS) is recently regarded as one subsystem of Intelligent Transport System (ITS). 近年来自动公路系统(Automated Highway System,AHS),作为智能运输系统的子系统之一越来越受到重视。
2 commissioner gq3zX     
n.(政府厅、局、处等部门)专员,长官,委员
参考例句:
  • The commissioner has issued a warrant for her arrest.专员发出了对她的逮捕令。
  • He was tapped for police commissioner.他被任命为警务处长。
3 spoke XryyC     
n.(车轮的)辐条;轮辐;破坏某人的计划;阻挠某人的行动 v.讲,谈(speak的过去式);说;演说;从某种观点来说
参考例句:
  • They sourced the spoke nuts from our company.他们的轮辐螺帽是从我们公司获得的。
  • The spokes of a wheel are the bars that connect the outer ring to the centre.辐条是轮子上连接外圈与中心的条棒。
4 intersection w54xV     
n.交集,十字路口,交叉点;[计算机] 交集
参考例句:
  • There is a stop sign at an intersection.在交叉路口处有停车标志。
  • Bridges are used to avoid the intersection of a railway and a highway.桥用来避免铁路和公路直接交叉。
5 remains 1kMzTy     
n.剩余物,残留物;遗体,遗迹
参考例句:
  • He ate the remains of food hungrily.他狼吞虎咽地吃剩余的食物。
  • The remains of the meal were fed to the dog.残羹剩饭喂狗了。
6 analyzing be408cc8d92ec310bb6260bc127c162b     
v.分析;分析( analyze的现在分词 );分解;解释;对…进行心理分析n.分析
参考例句:
  • Analyzing the date of some socialist countries presents even greater problem s. 分析某些社会主义国家的统计数据,暴露出的问题甚至更大。 来自辞典例句
  • He undoubtedly was not far off the mark in analyzing its predictions. 当然,他对其预测所作的分析倒也八九不离十。 来自辞典例句
7 mariners 70cffa70c802d5fc4932d9a87a68c2eb     
海员,水手(mariner的复数形式)
参考例句:
  • Mariners were also able to fix their latitude by using an instrument called astrolabe. 海员们还可使用星盘这种仪器确定纬度。
  • The ancient mariners traversed the sea. 古代的海员漂洋过海。

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