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2022年经济学人 俄罗斯经济恢复元气

时间:2022-05-18 02:27:35

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(单词翻译)

Finance & economics

财经板块

Russia’s economy: Tears but a flesh wound

俄罗斯经济:轻伤而已

Russia’s economy is back on its feet

俄罗斯经济已经恢复元气

In early april we pointed1 to preliminary evidence that the Russian economy was defying predictions of collapse2, even as Western countries introduced unprecedented3 sanctions.

4月初,我们曾指出,初步证据表明,尽管西方国家对俄罗斯实施了前所未有的制裁,但俄罗斯经济并未像预期的那样崩溃。

Recent data further support this view.

最近的数据进一步支持了这一观点。

Helped along by capital controls and high interest rates, the rouble is now as valuable as it was before Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in late February.

在资本管制和高利率的推动下,卢布现在与2月底俄罗斯入侵乌克兰之前一样值钱。

Russia appears to be keeping up with payments of its foreign-currency bonds.

俄罗斯似乎在偿还其外币债券。

The real economy is surprisingly resilient too.

俄罗斯实体经济的韧性也令人惊讶。

True, Russian consumer prices have risen by more than 10% since the beginning of the year, as the rouble’s initial depreciation4 made imports more expensive and many Western companies pulled out, reducing supply.

诚然,由于卢布最初的贬值使得进口更加昂贵,许多西方公司撤出,减少了供应,俄罗斯的消费价格自今年年初以来已经上涨了10%以上。

The number of firms late on their wage payments seems to be growing.

似乎有越来越多的公司拖欠工资。

But “real-time” measures of Russian economic activity are largely holding up.

但是,俄罗斯经济活动的“实时”指标在很大程度上保持了稳定。

Total electricity consumption has fallen only a smidge.

总用电量仅略有下降。

After a lull5 in March, Russians seem to be spending fairly freely on cafes, bars and restaurants, according to a spending tracker run by Sberbank, Russia’s largest bank.

根据俄罗斯最大的银行——俄罗斯联邦储蓄银行的支出跟踪,经历3月份的一段淡季之后,俄罗斯人似乎在咖啡馆、酒吧和餐馆上的消费相当自由。

On April 29th the central bank lowered its key interest rate from 17% to 14%, a sign that a financial panic which began in February has eased slightly.

4月29日,中央银行将基准利率从17%下调至14%,这标志着始于2月份的金融恐慌有所缓解。

The Russian economy is undoubtedly6 shrinking, but some economists’ predictions of a gdp decline of up to 15% this year are starting to look pessimistic.

毫无疑问,俄罗斯的经济在萎缩,但一些经济学家对俄今年GDP降幅高达15%的预测似乎要落空了。

Even before the invasion Russia was a fairly closed economy, limiting sanctions’ bite.

即便在入侵前,俄罗斯也是一个相当封闭的经济体,这让西方的制裁效果有限。

But the biggest reason for the economy’s resilience relates to fossil fuels.

但俄罗斯经济恢复的最大原因与化石燃料有关。

Since the invasion Russia has exported at least $65bn-worth of fossil fuels via shipments and pipelines7, suggests the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air, a think-tank in Finland.

芬兰智库能源与清洁空气研究中心表示,自入侵以来,俄罗斯已通过船运和管道出口了至少650亿美元的化石燃料。

In the first quarter of 2022 the government’s revenues from hydrocarbons8 rose by over 80% year on year.

在2022年第一季度,政府来自化石燃料的收入同比增长了80%以上。

On May 4th the European Commission proposed a ban on imports of all Russian oil that would come into full force by the end of the year.

5月4日,欧盟委员会提议禁止进口所有俄罗斯石油,该禁令将于今年年底全面生效。

Until then, expect the Russian economy to continue to trundle along.

在那之前,预计俄罗斯经济还会继续缓慢发展。


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点击收听单词发音收听单词发音  

1 pointed Il8zB4     
adj.尖的,直截了当的
参考例句:
  • He gave me a very sharp pointed pencil.他给我一支削得非常尖的铅笔。
  • She wished to show Mrs.John Dashwood by this pointed invitation to her brother.她想通过对达茨伍德夫人提出直截了当的邀请向她的哥哥表示出来。
2 collapse aWvyE     
vi.累倒;昏倒;倒塌;塌陷
参考例句:
  • The country's economy is on the verge of collapse.国家的经济已到了崩溃的边缘。
  • The engineer made a complete diagnosis of the bridge's collapse.工程师对桥的倒塌做了一次彻底的调查分析。
3 unprecedented 7gSyJ     
adj.无前例的,新奇的
参考例句:
  • The air crash caused an unprecedented number of deaths.这次空难的死亡人数是空前的。
  • A flood of this sort is really unprecedented.这样大的洪水真是十年九不遇。
4 depreciation YuTzql     
n.价值低落,贬值,蔑视,贬低
参考例句:
  • She can't bear the depreciation of the enemy.她受不了敌人的蹂躏。
  • They wrote off 500 for depreciation of machinery.他们注销了500镑作为机器折旧费。
5 lull E8hz7     
v.使安静,使入睡,缓和,哄骗;n.暂停,间歇
参考例句:
  • The drug put Simpson in a lull for thirty minutes.药物使辛普森安静了30分钟。
  • Ground fighting flared up again after a two-week lull.经过两个星期的平静之后,地面战又突然爆发了。
6 undoubtedly Mfjz6l     
adv.确实地,无疑地
参考例句:
  • It is undoubtedly she who has said that.这话明明是她说的。
  • He is undoubtedly the pride of China.毫无疑问他是中国的骄傲。
7 pipelines 2bee8f0b9bb303b1f1a466fd43666db3     
管道( pipeline的名词复数 ); 输油管道; 在考虑(或规划、准备) 中; 在酿中
参考例句:
  • The oil is carried to the oil refinery by pipelines. 石油通过输油管输送到炼油厂。
  • The oil carried in pipelines. 石油用管道输送。
8 hydrocarbons e809b45a335ac8bfbaa26f5ce65d98e9     
n.碳氢化合物,烃( hydrocarbon的名词复数 )
参考例句:
  • Hydrocarbons (HC), like carbon monoxide, represent unburned and wasted fuel. 碳氢化合物(HC)像一氧化碳一样,为未燃尽的和被浪费掉的燃料。 来自英汉非文学 - 环境法 - 环境法
  • With this restricted frequency range it is not applicable to hydrocarbons. 这个较紧缩的频率范围不适用于烃类。 来自辞典例句

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